Golden Data
Screenprint-style portrait of JD Vance speaking at a lectern

Data story · visas and layoffs

Laid Off, Still Sponsoring

Five big employers cut jobs and raised new H-1B sponsorship in the same year.

On October 8, 2026 the federal government called out companies that lay off American workers while hiring from overseas: the Labor Department suspended 8 employers from the green-card program, and the Vice President put numbers on Microsoft, about 6,000 laid off against 6,300 H-1B visas and almost 3,000 green cards. This page checks those numbers against the public record, then asks the question behind them: which big employers cut deeply while their new sponsorship held or rose, and where did the hiring go instead.

Oct 9, 202682 sources

Microsoft, 2025: sponsored beside laid off

  • 6,257H-1B approvals, fiscal 2025 (the “6,300”)1,394 for new hires; 4,863 renewals and transfers of people already employed
  • 15,000laid off in 2025, announced worldwideabout 3,300 of them in US layoff notices (WARN filings); the May round Vance cited was 6,000

Eleven people laid off worldwide for every new H-1B, 2.4 counting only US layoff notices.1,3

One square is 100 people or petitions. WARN notices are the 60-day filings federal law requires before a large layoff: the only US-only count, and a floor, since small and remote cuts never file one.

Vance’s four numbers, checked

  • “6,300 H-1B visas.” 6,257 approvals, 78% of them renewals. 1,394 new.
  • “Almost 3,000 green cards.” 3,157 PERM filings, the first step toward a green card, not green cards issued.2
  • “6,000 American workers.” The May 2025 global announcement. US WARN notices for 2025 come to about 3,300, deduplicated.3,10
  • “One and a half foreign workers per layoff.” Only by adding renewals to PERM filings and dividing by the global count (1.55). New approvals over US notices: 0.42. Neither is a replacement rate; no public data links the two.

Who did both

Oracle, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and JPMorgan Chase cut while new sponsorship rose

The defensible headline is “cut and sponsor at the same time”, not “replace”. Measured by initial approvals, not inflated totals, the firms whose new H-1Bs rose into a layoff year are mostly US tech and finance: Oracle, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and JPMorgan Chase. The Indian IT firms the suspension mostly targets cut deeply too, and their new intake fell.

The ratio is layoffs per H-1B the company sponsors, renewals included, where a fiscal 2025 total is published: Microsoft’s is the full year; nine others come from the senators’ September letters, which likely stop in June, so those ratios run high. The second sort divides by new approvals alone; the third shows how much of each pool was added this year. On all approvals, Amazon leads at ×1.4; Amazon added the most, with 46% of its H-1Bs new.

Solid dot: new H-1Bs, fiscal 2025. Faded dot: all approvals, dashed when the figure is partial-year. Ring: the layoff figure the record supports, solid for a US count and dashed for a global one. A small dashed ring marks a global figure on record beside a US one. The axis is logarithmic.

Ratios compare global, all-occupation layoffs with US, mostly technical H-1B approvals. They show timing, not replacement.

  • Suspended from PERM
  • Not suspended
  • All H-1Bs, new plus renewals
  • Laid off, US count
  • Laid off, global count
  • Low confidence (hatched)

Which employers laid off the most people per H-1B they sponsor?FY2025 initial approvals (NFAP) and all approvals where published, beside each company’s best-supported 2025–26 layoff count; “▲ rose” marks new approvals up on FY2024

1001K10KAmazon×1.4▲ roseMeta×0.7▲ roseWalmart×0.6Microsoft×0.5▲ roseJPMorgan×0.4▲ roseTCS×0.0Intelno totalOracleno total▲ roseSalesforceno totalIBMno totalCiscono totalInfosysno totalGoogleno 2025–26 layoff figureAppleno 2025–26 layoff figureCognizantno 2025–26 layoff figureDeloitteno 2025–26 layoff figureCapgeminino 2025–26 layoff figureHCLno 2025–26 layoff figureWiprono 2025–26 layoff figureAdobeno 2025–26 layoff figure

The funnel

From 21K job slots to 1,394 new hires: 7% make it through

This is how HR sees it. First the paperwork: a Labor Condition Application promises the Labor Department the going wage for a job slot, filed cheaply and in bulk before a candidate exists. Then the petition: immigration approves a visa for a named person, and most of those are housekeeping for people already on staff, renewals, extensions and transfers. The narrow end is a new person starting on an H-1B, 1,394 at Microsoft in fiscal 2025, about one percent of its US workforce by its own count.

The “6,300 visas” quoted on October 8 is the petition stage, 78% of it renewals. The “almost 3,000 green cards” is the retention step below the funnel: for workers it wants to keep past the six-year H-1B limit, HR files a PERM labor certification showing no qualified American applied. Those are mostly existing staff, not new hires, which is why that bar is wider than the new-hire bar.

The Labor Secretary’s totals for the eight since 2009 sit on the same rungs: “3M foreign workers requested” is job slots, 1.16M in the years on record; “230K H-1B approvals” fits new hires, 120K visible; the 100K PERM certifications cannot be reproduced. Nationally, employers filed 911K slots in fiscal 2025 against a cap of 85K new visas.22,26

  • Official or directly tabulated
  • Credible secondary reporting
  • Aggregator, estimate or unverified

Microsoft’s H-1B pipeline, fiscal 2025Each stage as the Labor Department and USCIS count it, with the share that carries to the next; the stages are the year’s counts, not one cohort followed through

Job slots filedLCA positions certified by DOL20,686Applicationsthe LCA forms; one lists many slots9,27545% go onVisa petitions approvedUSCIS approvals, new and renewed6,25767% go onNew hires on an H-1Binitial approvals: a new start1,39422% go onKept: green-card step onePERM filings, mostly existing staff3,157
Show as a table
StageVerifiedAs quotedWhat it measures
LCA positions certified20,68622—Worker slots on Labor Condition Applications. Employers over-file; one application can list many slots.
LCA applications certified9,27523—Applications, not slots. MyVisaJobs, a secondary tabulation of DOL files.
H-1B approvals, all6,2571,26,300Vance, Oct 8Initial plus continuing approvals, from NFAP's tabulation of USCIS data. USCIS data cited in the press puts it at 6,258.
…continuing (renewals, transfers)4,8631—Extensions, amendments and changes of employer for people already working. The same person can be counted more than once.
…initial (new employment)1,3941—The closest measure of new sponsorship.
PERM filings (green-card step 1)3,1572,243,000Vance, Oct 8Labor certifications, the first step toward an employment green card. Not green cards issued, and mostly for people already on H-1Bs. Not a subset of this year's approvals, so the stages do not add.
Laid off, US WARN notices 20253,3003,256,000Vance, Oct 8, as "American workers"Deduplicated WARN notices in Washington and California. The quoted 6,000 is the May 2025 global announcement; the year's global total was about 15,000.

The eight

Six outsourcers, Adobe, and the one firm where a green-card freeze bites

The penalty was a freeze on PERM, the first step of an employment green card. It only hurts a firm that files them. Six of the eight are IT services firms whose green-card use has always been small, so the freeze costs them little and mostly stalls the workers already in their queues. Microsoft files about 3,157 a year, the most on the list; Adobe has no confirmed mass layoff on record.2

Each card is one employer’s new H-1Bs in fiscal 2025 on a shared bar, its change on the year, the layoff figure the record supports, layoffs per new H-1B, and its green-card filings. Ranked by new H-1Bs, all eight together took 4,477. Amazon, which was not named, took 4,644 on its own.1

Microsoft

Big technamed by Vancemost new H-1Bsmost US layoffsmost green-card filings

New H-1Bs, fiscal 2025 1,394

vs. fiscal 2024
+10%from 1,264
Laid off
3,300 US2025
Layoffs per new H-1B
×2.4US notices
Green-card filings
3,157PERM, FY2025

Suspended Oct 8, 2026

Tata Consultancy Services

IT services

New H-1Bs, fiscal 2025 846

vs. fiscal 2024
−42%from 1,452
Laid off
60 US2025
Layoffs per new H-1B
×0.1US notices
Green-card filings
513PERM, FY2025 · unverified

Suspended Oct 8, 2026

Cognizant

IT services

New H-1Bs, fiscal 2025 743

vs. fiscal 2024
−74%from 2,837
Laid off
—none on record, 2025–26
Layoffs per new H-1B
—no layoff figure
Green-card filings
1,831cases frozen, Sep 2026

First suspended Sep 8, 2026

Capgemini

IT services

New H-1Bs, fiscal 2025 401

vs. fiscal 2024
−61%from 1,041
Laid off
—none on record, 2025–26
Layoffs per new H-1B
—no layoff figure
Green-card filings
—none on record

Suspended Oct 8, 2026

HCLTech

IT services

New H-1Bs, fiscal 2025 379

vs. fiscal 2024
−70%from 1,248
Laid off
—none on record, 2025–26
Layoffs per new H-1B
—no layoff figure
Green-card filings
323PERM, FY2025 · unverified

Suspended Oct 8, 2026

Wipro

IT services

New H-1Bs, fiscal 2025 267

vs. fiscal 2024
—no FY2024 figure
Laid off
—none on record, 2025–26
Layoffs per new H-1B
—no layoff figure
Green-card filings
519PERM, FY2025 · unverified

Suspended Oct 8, 2026

Infosys

IT services

New H-1Bs, fiscal 2025 263

vs. fiscal 2024
−89%from 2,504
Laid off
248 US2026 · unverified
Layoffs per new H-1B
×0.9US notices
Green-card filings
0PERM, FY2025

Suspended Oct 8, 2026

Adobe

Big tech

New H-1Bs, fiscal 2025 184

vs. fiscal 2024
—no FY2024 figure
Laid off
—none on record, 2025–26
Layoffs per new H-1B
—no layoff figure
Green-card filings
215cases frozen, Sep 2026

Suspended Oct 8, 2026

Sources for every figure on these cards are in the list at the end of the page.1,2,3,9,15,16,17,18,19,20,21

Microsoft, year by year

Eleven layoffs for every new H-1B in 2025, and the sponsorship never dipped

Microsoft sponsors a steady 1.3K or so new H-1Bs a year and renews about four times that many, whatever the layoffs are doing. In fiscal 2023, the year of the 10,000-person cut, new approvals were the lowest in the series; they rose with AI hiring in 2024 and 2025 to a series high of 1,394, in the year it announced about 15,000 layoffs.

The bars are USCIS fiscal years (October to September). The lines are calendar years: global announcements as reported, and US WARN notices, which set a floor because they catch only qualifying site-level events. Fiscal 2026 approvals are not published yet.

2025 was Microsoft’s biggest layoff year since 2023: 6,000 in May and 9,000 in July, about 15,000 globally for the year, against 3,300 in US notices.3,10,11,27

Hover a year for every figure and its date. The 2024 WARN point is the aggregator showing none; absence is not zero.

How did Microsoft’s H-1B approvals move through its layoff years?Petitions approved by USCIS fiscal year (NFAP tabulation); layoffs by calendar year, global announcements and US WARN notices

  • Initial H-1B approvals (new employment)
  • Continuing approvals (renewals, transfers)
  • Layoffs announced, global
  • US WARN notices

Where Microsoft’s people areEmployees at fiscal year-end from the 10-K, US and international, FY2023–FY2025

FY2023US 120KIntl 101KFY2024US 126KIntl 102KFY2025US 125KIntl 103K

US 120K → 125K; international 101K → 103K. A small shift, not large-scale offshoring, and the July 2025 round falls after the FY2025 snapshot.12,13,14

The outsourcers left

New H-1B intake at the suspended outsourcers is down 82–95%

The companies that defined the “layoffs plus H-1B” story a decade ago, Cognizant, Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, Wipro and HCLTech, have largely exited new H-1B intake. From fiscal 2012 to fiscal 2025, their initial approvals fell 82–95%. Capgemini, in the record since fiscal 2015, fell less. Their delivery moved offshore.

Microsoft is the dashed reference line: 970 in FY2015 to 1,394 in FY2025. In fiscal 2025 it alone received more new approvals than any single outsourcer.

NFAP’s own aggregate for the top seven India-based firms is 4,573 for FY2025, 70% below FY2015; its per-firm figures sum lower and the firm set is not named, so the page does not compute the drop from the sum.1

The default view joins each firm’s first and last year, because the middle years are sparse. “All years” shows every point and leaves the missing years as gaps. ⚠ marks a figure the sources disagree on.

How much new H-1B hiring do the outsourcers still do?Initial H-1B approvals by USCIS fiscal year, FY2012–FY2025 (EPI and NFAP tabulations of USCIS data); years with no figure are left blank

EmployerFirst yearFY2025Change
Cognizantsuspended9,281FY2012743−92%
Tata Consultancy Servicessuspended7,469FY2012846−89%
Infosyssuspended5,600FY2012263⚠ possible entity split; verify−95%
Wiprosuspended4,304FY2012267−94%
HCLTechsuspended2,070FY2012379−82%
Microsoftsuspendedreference970FY20151,394+44%
Capgeminisuspended556FY2015401−28%
Deloitte1,235FY2021432−65%
Accenture1,097FY2022254−77%
Tech Mahindra509FY2022295−42%
LTIMindtree342FY2022401+17%

Offshore

The hiring the visa data cannot see

The stronger present-day displacement story runs through offshore capability centers, not visas. Meta, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Netflix and Alphabet together hired more than 32,000 people in India in 2025, bringing their combined India workforce to about 214,000.58 The $100,000 H-1B fee makes offshore delivery relatively cheaper still.

Most links here are timing, not proven substitution. Only Microsoft discloses a US / international split.

Cut here, hired thereEight companies with a cut on one side of the water and a workforce on the other, in the same record. Both bars share one log scale; hover a row for the catch.

1K1K10K10K100K100K◀ Cut hereStaffed there ▶Concentrix5,000240,000fewer Americas staff · FY2024 to FY2025employees in Asia-Pacific · FY2025 10-KIBM9,000135,000US jobs reported at risk · March 2025employees in India, as claimed · 2026, unverifiedAmazon14,000120,000announced layoffs · worldwide, 2025employees in India · 2026Microsoft · suspended from PERM3,300103,000US layoff notices · 2025 WARN filingsemployees outside the US · FY2025 10-KJPMorgan24455,000WARN notice · Plano, Texas, 2026employees in India · 2026Citigroup20,00033,000planned layoffs · worldwide, 2024–26employees in India · 2025Alorica2,0009,000US call-center jobs cut · seven states, 2019Philippine hires announced · 2019Target1,8005,700corporate positions cut · headquarters, 2025employees in Bengaluru · India, 2026
  • Cut, as the source counts it
  • Offshore workforce
  • Same, one of the eight
  • Hires announced, not a headcount
  • Unverified

Each row is a coincidence of timing, not a proven transfer. The right-hand number is a standing workforce, so it predates the cut on the left. IBM and Amazon rest on reporting the companies themselves never confirmed. Every figure is sourced in the signal table below.

New US-owned capability centers in IndiaCenters opened each year (ANSR); 2026 is a forecast

35–40202343202460+202575–802026*

Ranges and “more than” figures are drawn at their low end.58

Concentrix headcount by regionA call-center operator’s 10-K, FY2024 (ring) to FY2025 (dot)

Americas90K → 85KAPAC235K → 240KEMEA125K → 130K

Americas 90K → 85K; Asia-Pacific 235K → 240K.52,53

Every offshore signal, by evidence strength (39)
CompanyWhenSignalFigureWhereWhat the source says
IBMJan 2024Job postingsunverified173postingsIndiaClaimed IBM India job openings Jan 2024 (UNVERIFIED)39
IBMJan 2025Job postingsunverified3,866postingsIndiaClaimed IBM India job openings early 2025; US listings <400 (UNVERIFIED)39
IBMMar 20, 2025US cutunverified9,000workersUS (Raleigh, NYC, Dallas, CA)~9,000 US jobs reportedly at risk; IBM did not confirm32
IBMApr 3, 2026Offshore headcountunverified135,000employeesIndiaViral X post claims ~135K India vs ~43K US employees (UNVERIFIED)39
IBMApr 3, 2026US headcountunverified43,000employeesUSSame viral post's US headcount claim (UNVERIFIED)39
MicrosoftJun 30, 202310-K geography101,000employeesInternational10-K FY2023: 120K US / 101K international (45.7% intl)12
MicrosoftJun 30, 202410-K geography102,000employeesInternational10-K FY2024: 126K US / 102K international (44.7% intl)13
MicrosoftJun 30, 202510-K geography103,000employeesInternational10-K FY2025: 125K US / 103K international (45.2% intl); US -1K, intl +1K14
Wells Fargo—Counter-signal: offshore cutunverified400workersChennai, IndiaCounter-signal: ~400 India roles cut and Chennai GCC closed (date unconfirmed)42
Wells FargoMar 17, 2019Offshore headcount10,000employeesIndia & PhilippinesAdded more than 10,000 workers in India/Philippines by 2019; up to 7,000 more Filipino hires planned40
Wells FargoFeb 14, 2020Counter-signal: offshore cut700workersManila, PhilippinesCounter-signal: ~700 Manila jobs cut41
JPMorgan ChaseDec 17, 2025Offshore center30,000employeesMumbai, IndiaPlanned 2M sq ft campus for ~30,000 people by 2029 ('Asia's largest GCC')44
JPMorgan ChaseJun 2026US cut244workersPlano, TXWARN notice, Plano campus34
JPMorgan ChaseJul 23, 2026Offshore headcount55,000employeesIndia (5 cities)About 55,000 employees in India; hiring ~1,000 tech roles for India GCC43
CitigroupJan 29, 2024US cut20,000workersGlobalPlan to cut 20,000 globally over two years (not US-specific)46
CitigroupSep 25, 2025Offshore headcount33,000employeesIndiaAbout 33,000 employees in India45
CitigroupSep 25, 2025Offshore center1,000rolesIndiaNearly 1,000 tech roles moved to India support centres - mostly from China (after ~3,500 China cuts), not US45
AmazonJan 28, 2026Offshore headcountunverified120,000employeesIndiaAbout 120,000 employees in India; India offices reportedly also hit by Jan 2026 cuts (not a clean offshoring case)47
TargetOct 24, 2025US cut1,800workersUS corporate1,800 corporate positions eliminated (incl. ~800 open roles)48
TargetAug 7, 2026Offshore headcount5,700employeesBengaluru, IndiaAbout 5,700 professionals; 'expanding strategic role'49
ConcentrixNov 30, 2024BPO headcount90,000employeesAmericas10-K FY2024 Americas headcount (includes LatAm)52
ConcentrixNov 30, 2024BPO headcount235,000employeesAPAC10-K FY2024 APAC headcount52
ConcentrixNov 30, 2024BPO headcount125,000employeesEMEA10-K FY2024 EMEA headcount52
ConcentrixNov 30, 2024BPO headcount450,000employeesTotal10-K FY2024 total headcount52
ConcentrixNov 30, 2025BPO headcount85,000employeesAmericas10-K FY2025 Americas headcount (-5K YoY; includes LatAm)53
ConcentrixNov 30, 2025BPO headcount240,000employeesAPAC10-K FY2025 APAC headcount (+5K YoY)53
ConcentrixNov 30, 2025BPO headcount130,000employeesEMEA10-K FY2025 EMEA headcount53
ConcentrixNov 30, 2025BPO headcount455,000employeesTotal10-K FY2025 total headcount53
TaskUsDec 31, 2025BPO headcount65,500employeesTotal (13 countries)10-K FY2025 total headcount, 31 sites54
TaskUsDec 31, 2025BPO headcount38,100employeesPhilippines10-K FY2025 Philippines headcount (58%)54
AloricaDec 13, 2019US cut2,000workersUS (WI, AZ, CA, FL, IN, MI, NC)Closed US sites with 2,000+ workers (pre-window precedent)55
AloricaDec 13, 2019BPO headcount9,000employeesPhilippinesAdding 9,000 Philippine staff for nearly 50,000 there55
SalesforceSep 2025US cut4,000workersGlobal (support)4,000 support roles cut, attributed to AI agents - not offshoring50
UnitedHealth / OptumSep 25, 2024US cutunverified800workersNJ, CA, OH800 cuts; Philippine job ads for Optum back-office roles (offshoring claims unverified)51
Focus ServicesMar 2026US cut94workersGreenville, NCCall-center WARN cut; notice does not say where work went56
InfosysMar 2026US cutunverified248workersUSInfosys BPM WARN tied to reworked Vanguard contract (Vanguard brought work in-house, expanding offshore)19
VanguardNov 2025Offshore center2,500planned hiresHyderabad, IndiaGCC plans to hire 2,50057
PayPal2026Counter-signal: offshore cut220workersIndia220 India roles cut (offshore not immune)31
Tata Consultancy Services2026Counter-signal: offshore cut23,000workersGlobal (mostly India)TCS headcount fell by more than 23,00031

Timeline

How a Senate letter became a suspension

Enforcement, courts, Congress and statements since 2025, with the events that touch the eight in orange. The October 8 cluster is at the bottom. Faded rows are reports the record could not confirm.

  1. Background

    Oct 2014. Disney IT workers notified of layoffs; work moved to HCL and Cognizant ('train your replacement')59

    Feb 4, 2015. Southern California Edison: ~500 IT jobs moved to Infosys and TCS reported60

    Jan 31, 2023. Google pauses new PERM filings after layoffs (180-day laid-off-worker rule)61

  2. Oct 8, 2024

    Courts Palmer v. Cognizant jury finds pattern of discrimination against non-Indian workers62

    C.D. Cal. jury
  3. Apr 18, 2025

    Enforcement EEOC investigation of TCS layoff-bias complaints reported63

    EEOC
  4. Jun 2025

    Enforcement DOJ relaunched Protecting US Workers Initiative records first settlement64

    DOJ
  5. Jul 2025

    Statement Vance criticizes firms that lay off 9,000 then seek visas ('Winning the AI Race' summit)65

    JD Vance
  6. Jul 29, 2025

    Congress Keep Call Centers in America Act (S.2495) introduced by Sens. Gallego and Justice66

    US Senate
  7. Sep 2025

    Enforcement DOL unveils Project Firewall H-1B enforcement initiative (launch month unconfirmed)67

    DOL
  8. Sep 5, 2025

    Congress Sen. Moreno announces HIRE Act (25% excise tax on outsourcing payments)68

    Sen. Bernie Moreno
  9. Sep 17, 2025

    Congress Unanimous-consent request for HIRE Act blocked69

    US Senate
  10. Sep 19, 2025

    Executive Proclamation imposes $100,000 fee on new H-1B petitions for workers abroad70

    White House
  11. Sep 25, 2025

    Congress Grassley-Durbin letters to 10 employers pairing layoffs with FY2025 H-1B approvals28

    Sens. Grassley & Durbin
  12. Oct 6, 2025

    Congress HIRE Act formally introduced as S.2976, referred to Senate Finance71

    US Senate
  13. Feb 3, 2026

    Courts Federal court upholds $100K H-1B fee pending appeal (headline only)72

    Federal court · conflicting or unverified report
  14. Mar 26, 2026

    Regulation FCC votes 3-0 on proposal for overseas call-center disclosure in telecom73

    FCC
  15. Apr 7, 2026

    Enforcement DOL reports 48% increase in H-1B investigation caseload under Project Firewall74

    DOL
  16. Apr 14, 2026

    Enforcement Compunnel Software Group becomes 9th DOJ settlement ($313,420)64

    DOJ
  17. May 2026

    Enforcement Cloudera given 180-day PERM suspension over alleged hiring discrimination75

    DOL
  18. Jun 8, 2026

    Courts D. Mass. holds $100K fee unlawful (State of California v. Mullin)70

    US District Court D. Mass.
  19. Jun 12, 2026

    Courts D. Mass. stays its fee ruling pending appeal; fee remains collectible70

    US District Court D. Mass.
  20. Jul 2026

    Enforcement DOL probe of Cognizant and Cloudera announced after whistleblower complaints75

    DOL / White House fraud task force
  21. Aug 4, 2026

    Enforcement OpenAI and Statsig settle DOJ PERM-recruitment case for $3.2M76

    DOJ
  22. Sep 2026

    Enforcement Cloudera suspended; H-1B/LCA suspension expanded to Cognizant and Cloudera75

    DOL
  23. Sep 8, 2026

    Enforcement DOL suspends Cognizant from PERM77

    DOL Inspector General
  24. Sep 18, 2026

    Executive Executive order directs agencies to weigh layoffs in H-1B/LCA adjudication; DOL to review past LCAs78

    White House
  25. Sep 19, 2026

    Executive Paired proclamation reported extending $100K fee through Sep 202779

    White House · conflicting or unverified report
  26. Sep 25, 2026

    Enforcement All pending PERM cases for Adobe (215) and Cognizant (1,831) shown 'on hold'15

    DOL (via PERM Tracker)
  27. Oct 1, 2026

    Courts Federal magistrate reported to block $100K fee for rulemaking failures (conflicts with stay status - verify)80

    Federal magistrate · conflicting or unverified report
  28. Oct 2, 2026

    Statement Vance video calls H-1B 'completely broken', backs eliminating it80

    JD Vance
  29. Oct 8, 2026

    Enforcement AG Blanche says DOJ investigating firms favoring foreign workers; criminal cases possible81

    DOJ
  30. Oct 8, 2026

    Enforcement DOL IG announces J-1 visa-fraud probe of nine universities25

    DOL Inspector General
  31. Oct 8, 2026

    Enforcement DOL suspends 8 employers from PERM (no new filings; pending frozen); no end date2

    DOL (Sec. Sonderling) with VP Vance
  32. Oct 8, 2026

    Context Satya Nadella receives National Medal of Technology and Innovation hours later82

    White House
  33. Oct 8, 2026

    Statement Vance claims Microsoft laid off ~6,000 while getting ~6,300 H-1Bs and ~3,000 green cards25

    JD Vance

The claims

9 public figures, each against the closest verified one

The verdicts are the research’s, verbatim. “Accurate number, misleading framing” means the figure exists and measures something other than what it was said to.

Who, whenClaimQuotedClosest verifiedVerdict
JD VanceOct 8, 2026Microsoft laid off about 6,000 American workers last year.25
Why

6,000 matches Microsoft's May 13 2025 GLOBAL announcement. Deduplicated US WARN notices for calendar 2025 total ~3,300. Total 2025 global cuts exceeded 15,000, so 'last year' is also ambiguous. Administration cited no source.

6,0003,300layoffs_us_warn (calendar 2025, deduplicated WARN)Misleading
JD VanceOct 8, 2026Microsoft benefited from roughly 6,300 H-1B visas.25
Why

Matches FY2025 TOTAL approvals (6,257-6,258). Only 1,394 were initial (new) employment; ~4,860 were renewals/transfers of people already employed. Some outlets reported 6,200. Microsoft says ~80% were extensions or status changes.

6,3006,257h1b_total_approvals FY2025 = initial 1,394 + continuing 4,863Accurate number, misleading framing
JD VanceOct 8, 2026Microsoft received almost 3,000 green cards.24
Why

~3,157 is the count of PERM filings, the first step of a green card - not green cards issued. Most PERM beneficiaries are existing H-1B employees, so they overlap with the H-1B count.

3,0003,157perm_applications FY2025 (PERM labor certification filings, DOL data via press)Misleading
JD VanceOct 8, 2026Each laid-off Microsoft worker was replaced by about 1.5 foreign workers.81
Why

The 1.5 ratio only works by adding total H-1B approvals and PERM filings ((6,300+3,000)/6,000 = 1.55), which double-counts people and treats renewals as new entrants. Using new approvals vs US WARN gives ~0.42 - still not a replacement rate, since no role-level data links the two.

1.50.42DERIVED ratio: initial H-1B approvals FY2025 (1,394) / deduplicated US WARN 2025 (~3,300)Unsupported
Keith SonderlingOct 8, 2026Since 2009 the eight companies requested almost 3 million foreign workers.26
Why

Almost certainly counts LCA worker POSITIONS (slots on Labor Condition Applications), not people, petitions or visas. Visible Top-10 snapshots alone sum to ~1.16M with many firm-years and FY2009-13/2016 missing. LCA positions are routinely over-filed; national total is ~0.9M positions/yr vs an 85,000 cap.

3,000,0001,155,934lca_positions certified, partial sum of DOL Top-10 snapshots FY2014-FY2025 (11 years; firm-years outside Top-10 missing)Plausible, needs context
Keith SonderlingOct 8, 2026The eight companies received over 230,000 H-1B approvals since 2009.26
Why

Consistent with INITIAL approvals: available years sum to 120,171 (the research note says ~131K, but its own per-year table also sums to 120,171). Researcher's rough interpolation of missing years (estimate, not data) gives ~230-270K. Total approvals would be far higher (FY2015 alone ~44K), so the claim is not about totals. DOL has not published its computation.

230,000120,171h1b_initial_approvals, sum of available firm-years FY2012-FY2025 (gaps: FY2009-11, 2013-14, 2016-18, FY2026)Plausible, unverified
Keith SonderlingOct 8, 2026The eight companies obtained over 100,000 permanent labor certifications since 2009.26
Why

Could not be reproduced: only Infosys FY2017-24 PERM certifications are credible; Microsoft ~3,157 filings in FY2025 alone. Researcher's rough build-up (estimate) is 70-110K, plausible only if Microsoft and Cognizant dominate. Needs OFLC PERM disclosure files.

100,000—perm_certifications (no reproducible multi-year series available)Unverified
People MattersOct 2, 2025TCS received 5,505 new H-1B approvals in FY2025.17
Why

5,505 is the senators' FY2025 TOTAL (initial + continuing) approvals figure. NFAP reports 846 initial (new) approvals for TCS in FY2025.

5,505846h1b_initial_approvals FY2025 (NFAP)Mislabeled
Keith SonderlingOct 8, 2026DOL uncovered about $22 billion in visa fraud.24
Why

No methodology, case list or document was published. Treat as an unverified official assertion.

$22M—n/aUnverified

Method

How the numbers were built

419 company-year facts for 56 employers, 37 market figures, 35 dated events and 50 offshore signals, each row carrying its source, scope, year basis and a confidence grade. Data as of Oct 8, 2026.

  • What this shows. Public counts of layoffs, H-1B approvals, labor condition applications and PERM certifications for the eight employers suspended from PERM on October 8, 2026, plus comparison firms. Sources are government statistics and analyses of them (DOL OFLC, USCIS via NFAP and EPI, SEC 10-Ks), news reports and aggregators. Every number links to its source.
  • The visa pipeline is a funnel. An LCA lists positions; employers file far more than they fill. An H-1B approval is a USCIS-approved petition, and most are continuing. Initial approvals are the closest measure of new sponsorship. PERM is the first step toward a green card, not a green card. Figures from different rungs are not interchangeable.
  • Layoffs, and what WARN is. Company announcements are usually global and cover every job type. The Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification Act of 1988 requires an employer with 100 or more workers to give 60 days’ written notice to employees and the state before a plant closing or a mass layoff of 50 or more at one site; states publish the notices, which makes them the only public US-only count by company. They miss small rounds, remote workers spread across sites, and cuts where severance is paid in place of notice. Layoff years are calendar years; H-1B years are federal fiscal years (October to September). Each company’s gap figure is chosen by one rule: a deduplicated US WARN count worth at least medium confidence, else a US announcement, else the best-supported 2025 global figure, else 2026. A low-confidence aggregator total never qualifies on its own: the aggregator’s 2024 and 2025 pages were identical for several firms.
  • When sources disagree. The page keeps the higher-confidence row, then reported over derived over estimate. So Microsoft’s 2025 WARN count is the deduplicated 3,300, not the aggregator’s 6,498 with three notices listed twice, and Cognizant’s FY2024 is the December 2024 release.
  • What this does not show. No public dataset links a laid-off worker to a visa holder or an offshore hire. Side-by-side numbers show timing, not replacement. Neither side has published role-level evidence.
  • Confidence. Solid is official or directly tabulated data. Faded is credible secondary reporting. Hatched is an aggregator, an estimate, or a figure derived over mismatched periods. Low-confidence values never feed a headline.
  • Gaps. USCIS employer data for FY2009–11, FY2013–14 and FY2016–18 is not in the record, so the eight-firm totals are partial sums, not reproductions. Infosys’s FY2025 figure may reflect its subsidiaries being counted separately. FY2026 approvals are not published.

Data: the six CSVs behind this page, built from the research handoff of October 8–9, 2026. Download the company-year facts, the market aggregates, the companies, the claims, the timeline or the offshore signals. Every source on the data map.

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